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\u5728 2009 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u5371\u6a5f\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u518d\u6b21\u5d1b\u8d77\u3002\n\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u67d0\u4e9b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6307\u6a19\u2014\u2014\u7121\u8ad6\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u9084\u662f\u570b\u5916\u2014\u2014\u90fd\u8868\u660e\u7e41\u69ae\u6642\u4ee3\u53ef\u80fd\u5373\u5c07\u7d50\u675f\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u201c\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u5373\u5c07\u7d50\u675f\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u524d\u666f\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e16\u754c\u8a31\u591a\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u5340\u7684\u524d\u666f\u751a\u81f3\u66f4\u7cdf\uff0c\u201c\u675c\u514b\u5927\u5b78\u91d1\u878d\u5b78\u6559\u6388 \u7d04\u7ff0\u00b7\u683c\u96f7\u5384\u59c6 \uff08John Graham<\/a>\uff09 \u8aaa\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u610f\u5473\u8457\u652f\u51fa\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u4f46\u4e26\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u8457\u8ca1\u7522\u548c\u50b7\u4ea1\u98a8\u96aa\u964d\u4f4e\u3002\n\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u63a1\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\u61c9\u5c0d\u5373\u5c07\u5230\u4f86\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u653e\u7de9\u7684\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u767c\u73fe\u81ea\u5df1\u8655\u65bc\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u62b5\u79a6\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u6216\u8870\u9000\u3002\n\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u5982\u4f55\u70ba\u7d93\u6fdf\u4f4e\u8ff7\u505a\u597d\u6e96\u5099\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

2020 \u5e74\u7d93\u6fdf\u5c55\u671b<\/h2>\n\n

\u5728\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u9805\u8abf\u67e5\u4e2d\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6578\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u90fd\u8a8d\u70ba\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5f88\u9ad8\u3002\n\u201c\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e09\u7684\u4f01\u696d\u9996\u5e2d\u8ca1\u52d9\u5b98\u9810\u8a08\u5230 2020 \u5e74\u5e95\u5c07\u6709\u4e00\u500b\uff0c\u201d\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u7684 Scott Lanman \u548c Katia Dmitrieva<\/a> \u8aaa\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u8207\u6b64\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u6b63\u5728\u95dc\u6ce8\u5931\u696d\u7387\uff0c\u81ea 1948 \u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u9810\u6e2c\u5373\u5c07\u5230\u4f86\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6307\u6a19\uff0cNatixis \u9996\u5e2d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6 Joseph LaVorgna<\/a> \u88dc\u5145\u9053\u3002 LaVorgna \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6bcf\u7576\u5931\u696d\u7387\u6bd4\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u9031\u671f\u6027\u4f4e\u9ede\u4e0a\u5347 50 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u6216 0.50 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u6642\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5c31\u9032\u5165\u8870\u9000\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u96d6\u7136\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5931\u696d\u7387\u50c5\u6bd4\u4f4e\u9ede\u9ad8\u51fa 30 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff0c\u4f46 1 \u6708\u4efd\u7684\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5f9e 11 \u6708\u4efd\u7684 3.7% \u7684\u4f4e\u9ede\u4e0a\u5347\u4e86 4%\u3002\n\u5347\u81f3\u50c5 4.2% \u53ef\u80fd\u8868\u660e\u53e6\u4e00\u5834\u8870\u9000\u7684\u958b\u59cb\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u8a31\u591a\u7d93\u6fdf\u5c08\u5bb6\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5546\u754c\u9818\u8896\u9810\u6e2c\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u662f\u660e\u667a\u7684\u3002\n\u675c\u514b\u5927\u5b78\uff08Duke University\uff09\u5546\u5b78\u6559\u6388\u574e\u8c9d\u723e\u00b7\u54c8\u5a01\uff08Campbell Harvey<\/a>[subscription required]\uff09\u8aaa\uff1a\u201c\u6240\u6709\u8981\u7d20\u90fd\u5df2\u6e96\u5099\u5c31\u7dd2\uff1a\u5f9e2009\u5e746\u6708\u958b\u59cb\u7684\u6e1b\u5f31\u64f4\u5f35\u2014\u2014\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u5341\u5e74\u524d\u2014\u2014\u52a0\u5287\u4e86\u5e02\u5834\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u6291\u5236\u589e\u9577\u7684\u4fdd\u8b77\u4e3b\u7fa9\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u66f2\u7dda\u4e0d\u7965\u5730\u8da8\u5e73\uff0c\u800c\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u66f2\u7dda\u5728\u904e\u53bb50\u5e74\u4e2d\u6e96\u78ba\u9810\u6e2c\u4e86\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u5c0d\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e5f\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u5c08\u5bb6\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\n2019\u5e741\u6708\uff0cBuildFax\u9996\u5e2d\u57f7\u884c\u5b98 Holly Tachovsky<\/a> \u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u53ef\u7528\u65bc\u8ddf\u8e64\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u7684\u55ae\u6236\u4f4f\u5b85\u6388\u6b0a\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u201c\u96d6\u7136\u9019\u96bb\u662f\u6307\u6a19\u9023\u7e8c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u500b\u6708\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u7a2e\u8f49\u8b8a\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u81ea 2013 \u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u7d93\u6b77\u7684\u767d\u71b1\u5316\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5e02\u5834\u5f62\u6210\u9bae\u660e\u5c0d\u6bd4\uff0c\u201dTachovsky \u8aaa\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e26\u975e\u6240\u6709\u5c08\u5bb6\u90fd\u540c\u610f\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u5373\u5c07\u5230\u4f86\u3002\n\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\uff08JPMorgan Chase\uff09\u9996\u5e2d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6 Anthony Chan<\/a>\u6839\u64da\u4ed6\u81ea\u5df1\u5c0d\u4f4f\u623f\u50b5\u52d9\u548c\u4f4f\u623f\u589e\u9577\u7684\u8003\u5bdf\uff0c\u9810\u6e2c2019\u5e74\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u7387\u70ba2%\u3002\n\u96d6\u7136 Chan \u8868\u793a\u7d93\u6fdf\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5e74\u653e\u7de9\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u8a8d\u70ba 2019 \u5e74\u6216 2020 \u5e74\u51fa\u73fe\u8870\u9000\u7684\u5e7e\u7387\u7d04\u70ba 15%\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\"兩位亞洲女商人發言\"<\/figure>\n\n

\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u9700\u8981\u8003\u616e\u4ec0\u9ebc<\/h2>\n\n

\u5728\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u4e2d\uff0c\u5c0d\u5373\u5c07\u5230\u4f86\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u7684\u64d4\u6182\u5f88\u9ad8\u3002\n\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u9ad8\u76db\u8cc7\u7522\u7ba1\u7406\u4fdd\u96aa\u8abf\u67e5\u4e2d\uff0c41%\u7684\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u8868\u793a\u4ed6\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba2020\u5e74\u62162021\u5e74\u5c07\u51fa\u73fe\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\uff0c \u8a79\u59c6\u65af\u00b7\u5eb7\u6258\u74e6<\/a> \u5728\u990a\u8001\u91d1\u8207\u6295\u8cc7\u5831\u544a\u3002\n\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u9084\u9810\u6e2c\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5e74\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u6a5f\u6703\u6703\u6e1b\u5c11\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u201c\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u9810\u6e2c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u5373\u5c07\u5230\u4f86\uff0c\u4f46\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0d\u6703\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u7e7c\u7e8c\u6295\u5165\u8cc7\u672c\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u627f\u64d4\u98a8\u96aa\u6642\u66f4\u52a0\u8b39\u614e\uff0c\u201c\u9ad8\u76db\u7684 Michael Siegel<\/a> \u89e3\u91cb\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u5c0d\u65bc\u7d93\u5e38\u6295\u8cc7\u50b5\u5238\u7684\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u7d93\u6fdf\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u5c0d\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u6216\u516c\u53f8\u50b5\u52d9\u9055\u7d04\u7684\u64d4\u6182\u5f80\u5f80\u662f\u9700\u8981\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u9996\u8981\u5c08\u6848\u3002\n\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5c0d\u65bc\u60f3\u8981\u5ea6\u904e\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u7684\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u66f4\u5ee3\u95ca\u7684\u8996\u91ce\u662f\u5fc5\u4e0d\u53ef\u5c11\u7684\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u5065\u5eb7\u4e2d\u8d77\u8457\u91cd\u8981\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u662f\u8a31\u591a\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u5f80\u5f80\u5ffd\u8996\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\nDoubleLine Capital LP \u5275\u59cb\u4eba\u517c\u9996\u5e2d\u57f7\u884c\u5b98 Jeffrey Gundlach<\/a> \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u72c0\u6cc1\u7684\u60c5\u7dd2\u5c0d\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u884c\u70ba\u6709\u6df1\u9060\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u9019\u4f7f\u5f97\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6210\u70ba\u672a\u4f86\u7d93\u6fdf\u884c\u70ba\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u6307\u6a19\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u76ee\u524d\uff0cGundlach \u6307\u51fa\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u60c5\u7dd2\u8207\u672a\u4f86\u9810\u671f\u4e4b\u9593\u5b58\u5728\u5dee\u8ddd\u3002\n\u5c0f\u4f01\u696d\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e5f\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5931\u53bb\u4e86\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u9019\u4e0d\u50c5\u53ef\u4ee5\u9810\u6e2c\u5373\u5c07\u5230\u4f86\u7684\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u52a9\u9577\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u67d0\u4e9b\u653f\u6cbb\u6c7a\u5b9a\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u901f\u7d93\u6fdf\u52e2\u982d\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3002\n2019 \u5e74 1 \u6708\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u9867\u554f\u517c\u8ca1\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u54e1 \u4e39 \u00b7\u61f7\u7279 \uff08Dan White<\/a> \uff09 \u5728\u99ac\u91cc\u862d\u5dde\u53c3\u8b70\u9662\u9810\u7b97\u548c\u7a05\u52d9\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u4f5c\u8b49\u6642\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u9577\u671f\u505c\u64fa\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u3002\n\u95dc\u7a05\u7684\u5be6\u65bd\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u901f\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u7684\u5230\u4f86\uff0cCNN \u7684 Paul R. La Monica<\/a> \u88dc\u5145\u9053\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\"以同事為背景的帶有圖表和玻璃杯的紙\"<\/figure>\n\n

\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u5982\u4f55\u70ba\u7d93\u6fdf\u4f4e\u8ff7\u505a\u597d\u6e96\u5099<\/h2>\n\n

\u6bcf\u500b\u884c\u696d\u7684\u4f01\u696d\u90fd\u6703\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u7576\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u56b4\u91cd\u6216\u6301\u4e45\u6642\u3002\n\u5e78\u904b\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u73fe\u5728\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u904e\u4fdd\u6301\u5176\u512a\u52e2\u4e26\u978f\u56fa\u52a3\u52e2\u4f86\u70ba\u7d93\u6fdf\u4f4e\u8ff7\u505a\u597d\u6e96\u5099\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u5728\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u548c\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u7684\u6642\u671f\u66f4\u6709\u6548\u5730\u8868\u73fe\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u300a\u54c8\u4f5b\u5546\u696d\u8a55\u8ad6\u300b\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u54e1 \u99ac\u4e01\u00b7\u91cc\u592b\u65af\uff08Martin Reeves\uff09\u3001\u51f1\u6587\u00b7\u60e0\u7279\u514b\uff08Kevin Whitaker\uff09\u548c\u514b\u5229\u65af\u8482\u5b89\u00b7\u51f1\u7279\u723e\u65af\uff08Christian Ketels<\/a> \uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u671f\u9593\u8868\u73fe\u6700\u597d\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u6709\u5e7e\u7a2e\u5171\u540c\u7684\u884c\u70ba\u3002 \u4ed6\u5011\u63a1\u53d6\u7a4d\u6975\u63aa\u65bd\u505a\u597d\u6e96\u5099\uff0c\u8003\u616e\u9577\u671f\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u4e26\u5c08\u6ce8\u65bc\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u4e2d\u4fdd\u6301\u589e\u9577\u2014\u2014\u5118\u7ba1\u901f\u5ea6\u8f03\u6162\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u201c\u70ba\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u505a\u6e96\u5099\u7684\u6700\u6709\u6548\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u52a0\u5f37\u7576\u4eca\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u904b\u71df\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u201dBanner Associates\uff0c Inc. \u7684\u4eba\u529b\u8cc7\u6e90\u7e3d\u76e3 Sarah Meusburger<\/a> \u8aaa\u3002<\/p>\n\n

Meusburger \u5efa\u8b70\u63a1\u7528\u4e00\u7a2e\u6301\u7e8c\u6539\u9032\u7684\u6587\u5316\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u6587\u5316\u7d50\u5408\u4e86 Reeves\u3001Whitaker \u548c Ketels \u5728\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u767c\u73fe\u7684\u76f8\u540c\u884c\u70ba\uff1a\u4e00\u7a2e\u7a4d\u6975\u4e3b\u52d5\u7684\u9577\u671f\u65b9\u6cd5\u4f86\u5be6\u73fe\u696d\u52d9\u589e\u9577\u548c\u7a69\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u5ba2\u6236\u95dc\u4fc2\u5728\u7cbe\u76ca\u6642\u671f\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027<\/h2>\n\n

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\u201c\u5982\u679c\u696d\u52d9\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8207\u5176\u5168\u9762\u524a\u6e1b\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u4e0d\u5982\u6e96\u5099\u597d\u8f49\u79fb\u8cc7\u6e90\u4ee5\u7559\u4f4f\u9019\u4e9b\u9ad8\u5229\u6f64\u5ba2\u6236\uff0c\u201dEvans \u8aaa\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u54c1\u724c\u9818\u5c0e\u529b\u5c08\u5bb6\u3001\u300aWhat Great Brands Do\u300b\u4e00\u66f8\u7684\u4f5c\u8005 Denise Lee Yohn<\/a> \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u52a0\u5f37\u5ba2\u6236\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u4e00\u7a2e\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u5c08\u6ce8\u65bc\u4f7f\u5167\u90e8\u6587\u5316\u8207\u5916\u90e8\u54c1\u724c\u4fdd\u6301\u4e00\u81f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u201c\u70ba\u4e86\u62b5\u6d88\u60a8\u8207\u7af6\u722d\u5c0d\u624b\u7522\u54c1\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u6700\u7d42\u50f9\u683c\u6bd4\u8f03\uff0c\u60a8\u73fe\u5728\u61c9\u8a72\u63d0\u9ad8\u54c1\u724c\u7684\u611f\u77e5\u50f9\u503c\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u4f4e\u8ff7\u6642\u671f\u5229\u7528\u8a72\u54c1\u724c\u8cc7\u7522\uff0c\u201dYohn \u8aaa\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u4f7f\u54c1\u724c\u5f62\u8c61\u8207\u5167\u90e8\u6587\u5316\u4fdd\u6301\u4e00\u81f4\u53ef\u4ee5\u5275\u9020\u50f9\u503c\uff0c\u4f7f\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u54c1\u724c\u8207\u773e\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4e26\u9f13\u52f5\u5ba2\u6236\u9078\u64c7\u60a8\u7684\u54c1\u724c\u4e26\u4fdd\u6301\u5fe0\u8aa0\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u5716\u7247\u63d0\u4f9b\uff1aAndriy Popov\/\u00a9123RF.com\u3001primagefactory\/\u00a9123RF.com\u3001Dmitriy Shirosonov\/\u00a9123RF.com<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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