{"id":21164,"date":"2024-09-30T14:22:40","date_gmt":"2024-09-30T19:22:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bolttech.io\/insights\/%e6%99%af%e6%b0%97%e5%be%8c%e9%80%80%e3%81%af%e6%9d%a5%e3%82%8b%e3%81%ae%e3%81%8b%e4%bf%9d%e9%99%ba%e4%bc%9a%e7%a4%be%e3%81%8c%e6%99%af%e6%b0%97%e5%be%8c%e9%80%80%e3%81%ab%e5%82%99%e3%81%88%e3%82%8b\/"},"modified":"2024-10-29T09:12:48","modified_gmt":"2024-10-29T14:12:48","slug":"%e6%99%af%e6%b0%97%e5%be%8c%e9%80%80%e3%81%af%e6%9d%a5%e3%82%8b%e3%81%ae%e3%81%8b%e4%bf%9d%e9%99%ba%e4%bc%9a%e7%a4%be%e3%81%8c%e6%99%af%e6%b0%97%e5%be%8c%e9%80%80%e3%81%ab%e5%82%99%e3%81%88%e3%82%8b","status":"publish","type":"insight","link":"https:\/\/bolttech.io\/ja\/insights\/%e6%99%af%e6%b0%97%e5%be%8c%e9%80%80%e3%81%af%e6%9d%a5%e3%82%8b%e3%81%ae%e3%81%8b%e4%bf%9d%e9%99%ba%e4%bc%9a%e7%a4%be%e3%81%8c%e6%99%af%e6%b0%97%e5%be%8c%e9%80%80%e3%81%ab%e5%82%99%e3%81%88%e3%82%8b\/","title":{"rendered":"\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306f\u6765\u308b\u306e\u304b?\n\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u304c\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306b\u5099\u3048\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>2009\u5e74\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u7d4c\u6e08\u5371\u6a5f\u5f8c\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u7d4c\u6e08\u306f\u518d\u3073\u529b\u5f37\u3055\u3092\u5897\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\n\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u5185\u5916\u306e\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u6307\u6a19\u306f\u3001\u7e41\u6804\u306e\u6642\u4ee3\u304c\u7d42\u308f\u308a\u3064\u3064\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 <\/p>\n\n<p>\u300c10\u5e74\u8fd1\u304f\u306b\u308f\u305f\u308b\u4e16\u754c\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u6210\u9577\u306e\u7206\u767a\u306f\u7d42\u308f\u308a\u306b\u8fd1\u3065\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306f\u60aa\u5316\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u3055\u3089\u306b\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u591a\u304f\u306e\u5730\u57df\u3067\u306f\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306f\u3055\u3089\u306b\u60aa\u5316\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u300d\u3068\u30c7\u30e5\u30fc\u30af\u5927\u5b66\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u3067\u3042\u308b\u30b8\u30e7\u30f3\u30fb <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fuqua.duke.edu\/duke-fuqua-insights\/cfo-survey-december-2018\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u30b0\u30e9\u30cf\u30e0<\/a>\u306f\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306f\u652f\u51fa\u306e\u6e1b\u5c11\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3057\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306f\u640d\u5bb3\u8ce0\u511f\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3092\u6e1b\u3089\u3059\u3053\u3068\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\n\u305d\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u666f\u6c17\u6e1b\u901f\u306b\u5bfe\u51e6\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u63aa\u7f6e\u3092\u8b1b\u3058\u308b\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u306f\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u3084\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u3092\u4e57\u308a\u5207\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u3088\u308a\u5f37\u529b\u306a\u7acb\u5834\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u6c17\u3065\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002\n\u3053\u3053\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u304c\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306b\u5099\u3048\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u3092\u3054\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002  <\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2020\u5e74\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u898b\u901a\u3057<\/h2>\n\n<p>\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u30d6\u30eb\u30fc\u30e0\u30d0\u30fc\u30b0\u306e\u8abf\u67fb\u3067\u306f\u3001\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u306e\u30a8\u30b3\u30ce\u30df\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3053\u3068\u306b\u540c\u610f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\n\u300c\u5b9f\u969b\u3001\u4f01\u696d\u306e\u6700\u9ad8\u8ca1\u52d9\u8cac\u4efb\u8005(CFO)\u306e4\u5206\u306e3\u4ee5\u4e0a\u304c\u30012020\u5e74\u672b\u307e\u3067\u306b1\u56de\u9054\u6210\u3059\u308b\u3068\u4e88\u60f3\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u300d\u3068\u3001\u30d6\u30eb\u30fc\u30e0\u30d0\u30fc\u30b0\u306e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2019-02-14\/what-indicators-to-monitor-for-signs-a-u-s-recession-is-coming\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u30b9\u30b3\u30c3\u30c8\u30fb\u30e9\u30f3\u30de\u30f3\u6c0f\u3068\u30ab\u30c6\u30a3\u30a2\u30fb\u30c9\u30df\u30c8\u30ea\u30a8\u30d0<\/a> \u6c0f\u306f\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 <\/p>\n\n<p>\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u4e00\u90e8\u306e\u30a8\u30b3\u30ce\u30df\u30b9\u30c8\u306f\u30011948\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u3001\u6765\u308b\u3079\u304d\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306e\u4e00\u8cab\u3057\u305f\u4fe1\u983c\u3067\u304d\u308b\u6307\u6a19\u3067\u3042\u308b\u5931\u696d\u7387\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3001\u30ca\u30c6\u30a3\u30af\u30b7\u30b9\u306e\u30c1\u30fc\u30d5\u30a8\u30b3\u30ce\u30df\u30b9\u30c8\u3067\u3042\u308b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2019\/02\/20\/a-recession-indicator-with-a-perfect-track-record-over-70-years-is-close-to-being-triggered.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u30b8\u30e7\u30bb\u30d5\u30fb\u30e9\u30f4\u30a9\u30eb\u30b0\u30ca<\/a>\u6c0f\u306f\u4ed8\u3051\u52a0\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u30e9\u30f4\u30a9\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u306f\u3001\u5931\u696d\u7387\u304c\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u5faa\u74b0\u7684\u306a\u4f4e\u6c34\u6e96\u304b\u308950\u30d9\u30fc\u30b7\u30b9\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3001\u3064\u307e\u308a0.50\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30c8\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u4e0a\u6607\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3073\u306b\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u7d4c\u6e08\u306f\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306b\u7a81\u5165\u3057\u305f\u3068\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u5931\u696d\u7387\u306f\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u6e96\u309230\u30d9\u30fc\u30b7\u30b9\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306b\u904e\u304e\u306a\u3044\u304c\u300111\u6708\u306e\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u6e96\u3067\u3042\u308b3.7%\u304b\u30891\u6708\u306b\u306f4%\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u305f\u3002\n\u308f\u305a\u304b4.2%\u3078\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u306f\u3001\u5225\u306e\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306e\u59cb\u307e\u308a\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002 <\/p>\n\n<p>\u591a\u304f\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u306f\u3001\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u30ea\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u306f\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u3092\u4e88\u60f3\u3059\u308b\u306e\u304c\u8ce2\u660e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3068\u4fe1\u3058\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\n\u30c7\u30e5\u30fc\u30af\u5927\u5b66\u306e\u7d4c\u55b6\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u3067\u3042\u308b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/many-u-s-financial-officers-think-a-recession-will-hit-next-year-11544612460\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u30ad\u30e3\u30f3\u30d9\u30eb\u30fb\u30cf\u30fc\u30d9\u30a4<\/a>\u30fb [subscription required]\u306f\u3001\u300c2009\u5e746\u6708\u306b\u59cb\u307e\u3063\u305f\u666f\u6c17\u62e1\u5927\u306e\u8870\u9000\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u306e\u9ad8\u307e\u308a\u3001\u6210\u9577\u6291\u5236\u578b\u4fdd\u8b77\u4e3b\u7fa9\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3001\u904e\u53bb50\u5e74\u9593\u306e\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u3092\u6b63\u78ba\u306b\u4e88\u6e2c\u3057\u3066\u304d\u305f\u30a4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u30ab\u30fc\u30d6\u306e\u4e0d\u5409\u306a\u5e73\u5766\u5316\u306a\u3069\u3001\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306e\u8981\u7d20\u304c\u63c3\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u300d\u3068\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 <\/p>\n\n<p>\u4f4f\u5b85\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u306b\u306f\u3001\u4e0d\u6cc1\u306e\u89b3\u70b9\u304b\u3089\u8a71\u3059\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u3082\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\n2019\u5e741\u6708\u3001BuildFax\u306eCEO <a href=\"https:\/\/www.propertycasualty360.com\/2019\/01\/31\/decrease-in-single-family-authorization-points-to-possible-u-s-recession\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u3067\u3042\u308bHolly Tachovsky<\/a> \u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u8870\u9000\u3092\u8ffd\u8de1\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3067\u304d\u308b\u4e00\u6238\u5efa\u3066\u4f4f\u5b85\u306e\u8a8d\u53ef\u304c\u6e1b\u5c11\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u6307\u6458\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002 <\/p>\n\n<p>\u300c\u3053\u308c\u306f2\u304b\u6708\u9023\u7d9a\u3067\u6307\u6a19\u304c\u4e0b\u964d\u3057\u305f\u306b\u904e\u304e\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u3001\u3053\u306e\u30b7\u30d5\u30c8\u306f\u30012013\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306b\u7c73\u56fd\u304c\u7d4c\u9a13\u3057\u305f\u767d\u71b1\u3057\u305f\u4f4f\u5b85\u5e02\u5834\u3068\u306f\u307e\u3063\u305f\u304f\u5bfe\u7167\u7684\u3067\u3059\u300d\u3068\u30bf\u30b3\u30d5\u30b9\u30ad\u30fc\u6c0f\u306f\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306e\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u304c\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u304c\u6765\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u540c\u610f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\n\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001JP\u30e2\u30eb\u30ac\u30f3\u30fb\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30b9\u306e\u30c1\u30fc\u30d5\u30a8\u30b3\u30ce\u30df\u30b9\u30c8\u3001 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.housingwire.com\/articles\/48357-jpmorgan-chase-chief-economist-bets-against-2020-recession\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u30a2\u30f3\u30bd\u30cb\u30fc\u30fb\u30c1\u30e3\u30f3<\/a>\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u4f4f\u5b85\u50b5\u52d9\u3068\u4f4f\u5b85\u306e\u4f38\u3073\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u81ea\u8eab\u306e\u8abf\u67fb\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u304d\u30012019\u5e74\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u6210\u9577\u30922%\u3068\u4e88\u6e2c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\n\u30c1\u30e3\u30f3\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u6570\u5e74\u3067\u7d4c\u6e08\u304c\u6e1b\u901f\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3082\u30012019\u5e74\u307e\u305f\u306f2020\u5e74\u306b\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306b\u9665\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u306f\u7d0415%\u3068\u898b\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002  <\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/bolttech.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/business-women-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"&#x8A71;&#x3059;2&#x4EBA;&#x306E;&#x30A2;&#x30B8;&#x30A2;&#x4EBA;&#x30D3;&#x30B8;&#x30CD;&#x30B9;&#x30A6;&#x30FC;&#x30DE;&#x30F3;\" class=\"wp-image-6038\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bolttech.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/business-women-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/bolttech.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/business-women-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/bolttech.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/business-women-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/bolttech.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/business-women.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u304c\u8003\u616e\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3053\u3068<\/h2>\n\n<p>\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u306e\u9593\u3067\u306f\u3001\u8feb\u308a\u6765\u308b\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u61f8\u5ff5\u304c\u9ad8\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\n\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u30de\u30f3\u30fb\u30b5\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u30fb\u30a2\u30bb\u30c3\u30c8\u30fb\u30de\u30cd\u30b8\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u306e\u6700\u65b0\u306e\u4fdd\u967a\u8abf\u67fb\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u306e41%\u304c2020\u5e74\u307e\u305f\u306f2021\u5e74\u306b\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3059\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u56de\u7b54\u3057\u305f\u3068\u3001\u30da\u30f3\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u30ba\u30fb\u30a2\u30f3\u30c9\u30fb\u30a4\u30f3\u30d9\u30b9\u30c8\u30e1\u30f3\u30c4\u306e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pionline.com\/article\/20190424\/ONLINE\/190429942\/most-insurers-believe-us-will-enter-recession-within-next-2-years-8211-survey\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u30b8\u30a7\u30fc\u30e0\u30ba\u30fb\u30b3\u30f3\u30c8\u30ef<\/a> \u6c0f\u306f\u5831\u544a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\n\u307e\u305f\u3001\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u6570\u5e74\u9593\u3067\u6295\u8cc7\u306e\u6a5f\u4f1a\u304c\u6e1b\u5c11\u3059\u308b\u3068\u4e88\u6e2c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002  <\/p>\n\n<p>\u300c\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u304c\u6765\u308b\u3068\u4e88\u6e2c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u306f\u305d\u3046\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u305d\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3001\u5f7c\u3089\u306f\u8cc7\u672c\u3092\u30b3\u30df\u30c3\u30c8\u3057\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u53d6\u308b\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u306f\u3088\u308a\u9078\u629e\u7684\u3067\u3059\u300d\u3068\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u30de\u30f3\u30fb\u30b5\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u306e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/articles\/recession-forecast-51556206017\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u30de\u30a4\u30b1\u30eb\u30fb\u30b7\u30fc\u30b2\u30eb<\/a> \u306f\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u50b5\u5238\u306b\u6295\u8cc7\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u591a\u3044\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u3001\u91d1\u5229\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u3084\u4f01\u696d\u306e\u50b5\u52d9\u4e0d\u5c65\u884c\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u61f8\u5ff5\u306f\u3001\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u5909\u52d5\u306b\u4f34\u3044\u6ce8\u76ee\u3059\u3079\u304d\u9805\u76ee\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u306e\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u306b\u306a\u308b\u50be\u5411\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\n\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u3092\u4e57\u308a\u5207\u308a\u305f\u3044\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u306f\u3001\u3088\u308a\u5e83\u3044\u8996\u91ce\u3092\u6301\u3064\u3053\u3068\u304c\u4e0d\u53ef\u6b20\u3067\u3059\u3002 <\/p>\n\n<p>\u305f\u3068\u3048\u3070\u3001\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u4fe1\u983c\u611f\u306f\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u5065\u5168\u6027\u306b\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u5f79\u5272\u3092\u679c\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u591a\u304f\u306e\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u304c\u898b\u843d\u3068\u3057\u304c\u3061\u306a\u8981\u7d20\u3067\u3059\u3002\n\u7d4c\u6e08\u72b6\u6cc1\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u306e\u611f\u60c5\u306f\u3001\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u306e\u6d88\u8cbb\u884c\u52d5\u306b\u5927\u304d\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u611f\u306f\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u884c\u52d5\u306e\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u6307\u6a19\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u3001DoubleLine Capital LP\u306e\u5275\u8a2d\u8005\u517cCEO\u3067\u3042\u308b <a href=\"http:\/\/fortune.com\/2019\/02\/16\/when-is-the-next-recession-coming\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Jeffrey Gundlach<\/a>\u6c0f\u306f\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 <\/p>\n\n<p>\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u5fc3\u7406\u3068\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u671f\u5f85\u3068\u306e\u9593\u306b\u30ae\u30e3\u30c3\u30d7\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u6307\u6458\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\n\u307e\u305f\u3001\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u696d\u306f\u7d4c\u6e08\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u4fe1\u983c\u3092\u5931\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306f\u6765\u308b\u3079\u304d\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u3092\u4e88\u6e2c\u3059\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u3092\u717d\u308b\u4e00\u52a9\u306b\u3082\u306a\u308a\u304b\u306d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002 <\/p>\n\n<p>\u307e\u305f\u3001\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\u304c\u3001\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u52e2\u3044\u3092\u4e0b\u964d\u306b\u5411\u304b\u308f\u305b\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\n2019\u5e741\u6708\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u30b3\u30f3\u30b5\u30eb\u30bf\u30f3\u30c8\u3067\u8ca1\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u306e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baltimoresun.com\/news\/maryland\/politics\/bs-md-recession-forecast-20190116-story.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u30c0\u30f3\u30fb\u30db\u30ef\u30a4\u30c8<\/a> \u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u30e1\u30ea\u30fc\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u5dde\u4e0a\u9662\u306e\u4e88\u7b97\u30fb\u7a0e\u5236\u59d4\u54e1\u4f1a\u3067\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u6a5f\u95a2\u306e\u9589\u9396\u304c\u9577\u5f15\u304f\u3068\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u8d77\u3053\u3059\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u8a3c\u8a00\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\n\u95a2\u7a0e\u306e\u5b9f\u65bd\u306f\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306e\u5230\u6765\u3092\u65e9\u3081\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3001CNN\u306e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2018\/10\/18\/investing\/protectionism-china-tariffs-trade-markets-economy-recession\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u30dd\u30fc\u30eb\u30fbR\u30fb\u30e9\u30e2\u30cb\u30ab<\/a> \u306f\u4ed8\u3051\u52a0\u3048\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002  <\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/bolttech.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/graphs-charts-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"&#x50CD;&#x304F;&#x540C;&#x50DA;&#x306E;&#x80CC;&#x666F;&#x306B;&#x30C1;&#x30E3;&#x30FC;&#x30C8;&#x3068;&#x30B3;&#x30C3;&#x30D7;&#x4E00;&#x676F;&#x306E;&#x6C34;&#x304C;&#x5165;&#x3063;&#x305F;&#x7D19;\" class=\"wp-image-6048\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bolttech.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/graphs-charts-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/bolttech.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/graphs-charts-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/bolttech.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/graphs-charts-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/bolttech.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/graphs-charts.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u304c\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306b\u5099\u3048\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5<\/h2>\n\n<p>\u3042\u3089\u3086\u308b\u696d\u754c\u306e\u4f01\u696d\u304c\u4e0d\u6cc1\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u611f\u3058\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u7279\u306b\u4e0d\u6cc1\u304c\u6df1\u523b\u307e\u305f\u306f\u9577\u671f\u306b\u308f\u305f\u308b\u5834\u5408\u306b\u306f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u611f\u3058\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\n\u5e78\u3044\u306a\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3001\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u306f\u3001\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u3084\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9f\u6027\u306e\u6642\u671f\u306b\u3001\u81ea\u793e\u306e\u5f37\u307f\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3057\u3001\u5f31\u70b9\u3092\u5f37\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u4eca\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306b\u5099\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002 <\/p>\n\n<p>\u4e0d\u6cc1\u6642\u306b\u6700\u3082\u3046\u307e\u304f\u3044\u304f\u4f01\u696d\u306f\u3001\u3044\u304f\u3064\u304b\u306e\u5171\u901a\u306e\u884c\u52d5\u3092\u5171\u6709\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u306e <a href=\"https:\/\/hbr.org\/2019\/04\/companies-need-to-prepare-for-the-next-economic-downturn\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u30de\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30fb\u30ea\u30fc\u30d6\u30b9\u6c0f\u3001\u30b1\u30d3\u30f3\u30fb\u30a6\u30a3\u30c6\u30ab\u30fc\u6c0f\u3001\u30af\u30ea\u30b9\u30c1\u30e3\u30f3\u30fb\u30b1\u30c6\u30eb\u30ba<\/a> \u6c0f\u306f\u30cf\u30fc\u30d0\u30fc\u30c9\u30fb\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u30fb\u30ec\u30d3\u30e5\u30fc\u3067\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u5f7c\u3089\u306f\u3001\u6e96\u5099\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u306a\u63aa\u7f6e\u3092\u8b1b\u3058\u3001\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u8003\u616e\u3057\u3001\u30da\u30fc\u30b9\u306f\u9045\u3044\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u6210\u9577\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u6ce8\u529b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u300c\u4e0d\u6cc1\u306b\u5099\u3048\u308b\u6700\u3082\u52b9\u679c\u7684\u306a\u65b9\u6cd5\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u65e5\u306e\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u904b\u55b6\u65b9\u6cd5\u3092\u5f37\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u300d\u3068\u3001Banner Associates, Inc.\u306e\u4eba\u4e8b\u30c7\u30a3\u30ec\u30af\u30bf\u30fc\u3067\u3042\u308b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shrm.org\/hr-today\/news\/hr-magazine\/spring2019\/pages\/how-to-prepare-for-a-recession.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Sarah Meusburger<\/a>\u6c0f\u306f\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>Meusburger \u306f\u3001Reeves\u3001Whitaker\u3001Ketels \u304c\u7814\u7a76\u3067\u767a\u898b\u3057\u305f\u306e\u3068\u540c\u3058\u884c\u52d5\u3001\u3064\u307e\u308a\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u306e\u6210\u9577\u3068\u5b89\u5b9a\u6027\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u304b\u3064\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u30a2\u30d7\u30ed\u30fc\u30c1\u3092\u53d6\u308a\u5165\u308c\u305f\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u6539\u5584\u306e\u6587\u5316\u3092\u63a1\u7528\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u63a8\u5968\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u30ea\u30fc\u30f3\u30bf\u30a4\u30e0\u30ba\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u9867\u5ba2\u95a2\u4fc2\u306e\u91cd\u8981\u6027<\/h2>\n\n<p>\u9867\u5ba2\u3068\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u306f\u3001\u4e0d\u6cc1\u3092\u4e57\u308a\u5207\u308d\u3046\u3068\u3059\u308b\u4f01\u696d\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u6700\u3082\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u8cc7\u7523\u306e1\u3064\u3067\u3042\u308a\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\n\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u7d4c\u6e08\u60c5\u52e2\u3067\u3082\u6210\u529f\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u306f\u3001\u6700\u3082\u5fe0\u5b9f\u3067\u5229\u76ca\u7387\u306e\u9ad8\u3044\u9867\u5ba2\u3092\u7279\u5b9a\u3057\u3001\u81ea\u793e\u3068\u5f7c\u3089\u3068\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u3092\u4fdd\u8b77\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u91cd\u8981\u3067\u3059\u300d\u3068\u3001Newport Board Group\u306e\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b8\u30f3\u30b0\u30c7\u30a3\u30ec\u30af\u30bf\u30fc\u3067\u3042\u308b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/allbusiness\/2018\/12\/27\/economic-recession-preparation-business-owners\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Michael Evans<\/a>\u6c0f\u306f\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 <\/p>\n\n<p>\u300c\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u304c\u843d\u3061\u8fbc\u3093\u3060\u5834\u5408\u3001\u5168\u9762\u7684\u306b\u30b3\u30b9\u30c8\u3092\u524a\u6e1b\u3059\u308b\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u5229\u76ca\u7387\u306e\u9ad8\u3044\u9867\u5ba2\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u30ea\u30bd\u30fc\u30b9\u3092\u30b7\u30d5\u30c8\u3059\u308b\u6e96\u5099\u3092\u3057\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u300d\u3068Evans\u6c0f\u306f\u8a00\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u4eca\u3001\u9867\u5ba2\u3068\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u3092\u5f37\u5316\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u306e1\u3064\u306f\u3001\u793e\u5185\u306e\u6587\u5316\u3068\u793e\u5916\u306e\u30d6\u30e9\u30f3\u30c7\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u3092\u4e00\u81f4\u3055\u305b\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u7126\u70b9\u3092\u5f53\u3066\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3068\u3001\u30d6\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u30ea\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u30b7\u30c3\u30d7\u306e\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u3067\u300eWhat Great Brands Do\u300f\u306e\u8457\u8005\u3067\u3042\u308b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/deniselyohn\/2018\/11\/14\/3-ways-to-prepare-your-business-for-the-next-recession\/#571541e17155\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Denise Lee Yohn<\/a>\u6c0f\u306f\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u300c\u81ea\u793e\u88fd\u54c1\u3068\u7af6\u5408\u88fd\u54c1\u3068\u306e\u9593\u306e\u6700\u7d42\u7684\u306a\u4fa1\u683c\u6bd4\u8f03\u3092\u76f8\u6bba\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u3001\u30d6\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u77e5\u899a\u4fa1\u5024\u3092\u9ad8\u3081\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u305d\u3046\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u4e0d\u6cc1\u6642\u306b\u305d\u306e\u30d6\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u30a8\u30af\u30a4\u30c6\u30a3\u3092\u6d3b\u7528\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u300d\u3068\u30e8\u30fc\u30f3\u6c0f\u306f\u8a00\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u30d6\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u30fb\u30a2\u30a4\u30c7\u30f3\u30c6\u30a3\u30c6\u30a3\u3068\u793e\u5185\u6587\u5316\u3092\u4e00\u81f4\u3055\u305b\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u4fa1\u5024\u304c\u751f\u307e\u308c\u3001\u4fdd\u967a\u4f1a\u793e\u306e\u30d6\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u304c\u5dee\u5225\u5316\u3055\u308c\u3001\u9867\u5ba2\u304c\u30d6\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u3092\u9078\u629e\u3057\u3066\u30ed\u30a4\u30e4\u30eb\u30c6\u30a3\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3059\u308b\u3088\u3046\u4fc3\u3059\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p><em>\u753b\u50cf\u63d0\u4f9b:\u30a2\u30f3\u30c9\u30ea\u30fc\u30fb\u30dd\u30dd\u30d5\/\u00a9123RF.com\u3001\u30d7\u30ea\u30de\u30fc\u30b8\u30e5\u30d5\u30a1\u30af\u30c8\u30ea\u30fc\/\u00a9123RF.com\u3001\u30c9\u30df\u30c8\u30ea\u30fc\u30fb\u30b7\u30ed\u30bd\u30ce\u30d5\/\u00a9123RF.com<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2009\u5e74\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u7d4c\u6e08\u5371\u6a5f\u5f8c\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u7d4c\u6e08\u306f\u518d\u3073\u529b\u5f37\u3055\u3092\u5897\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002 \u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u5185\u5916\u306e\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u6307\u6a19\u306f\u3001\u7e41\u6804\u306e\u6642\u4ee3\u304c\u7d42\u308f\u308a\u3064\u3064\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 \u300c10\u5e74\u8fd1\u304f\u306b\u308f\u305f\u308b\u4e16\u754c\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u6210\u9577\u306e\u7206\u767a\u306f\u7d42\u308f\u308a\u306b\u8fd1\u3065\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u898b [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":6033,"template":"","insight-category":[],"class_list":["post-21164","insight","type-insight","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bolttech.io\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight\/21164","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bolttech.io\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bolttech.io\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/insight"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bolttech.io\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6033"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bolttech.io\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21164"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"insight-category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bolttech.io\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight-category?post=21164"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}